September
11 and its aftershocks influenced the raw numbers also.
Class action
lawsuits remain the most frequent business crisis followed by
defects and recalls. Labor disputes leading to strikes or job
actions ranked third. Class actions, defects/recalls and labor
disputes remain the top three organizational crises for the past
three years.
Ranking fourth
was workplace violence reaching double-digit percentage for the
first time since ICM began tracking crises. White-collar crime,
mismanagement, financial damages and catastrophes ranked fifth
through eight among the 16 categories of crises.
These findings
are based on ICM?s analysis of 9,033 business crisis news stories
in the year 2001 as reported in more than 1,500 newspapers, business
magazines, wire services and newsletters worldwide. The stories
are catalogued into 16 categories of crises experienced by organizations.
The database contains more than 81,000 original reporting business
crises since 1990.
What
does ICM consider a business crisis??
Crisis: Any problem or disruption
which triggers negative stakeholder reactions and results
in extensive public scrutiny. |
Business
Crisis Concentrations
???? Although down a few percentage points over the past two
years, class action lawsuits remained the #1 crisis faced by organizations.?
Lawsuits may be labeled aftershocks using an earthquake
analogy.? That is, the class action lawsuit follows some other
?shock? experienced by an organization, a shock for which someone
or group seeks restitution and punishment of the organization.
The nature of the lawsuit, the number of people involved and the
size of the awards demanded become a ?second shock?--an aftershock--to
the organization.? Shareholders were particularly aggressive during
the year in seeking compensation for perceived bad decisions by
management and/or poor stock performance.
???? Defects and recalls remained the second most frequent organizational
crisis last year.? The category, like class action lawsuits, was
down from preceding years yet still accounted for about 15% of
all crises. Class action lawsuits and defects and recalls continue
to track together, as defects rise or fall so do lawsuits.? Apparently,
customers and investors expect organizations to perform at the
highest levels of quality and profitability. When they don?t,
those groups turn to the courts for solace, restitution and organizational
punishment.

Labor disputes
ranked third among the 16 categories of crisis followed by ICM.?
Labor disputes have consistently ranked within the top three most
frequent crises experienced by organizations since 1990.? It is
interesting to note that the other two most frequent crises at
the beginning of the 90s, mismanagement and white-collar crime,
have significantly diminished over the past 11 years.? More on
that comparison later in this report.
Workplace
violence, which has generated lots of headlines while accounting
for relatively few crises in recent years, emerged as the fourth
most frequent crisis in 2001.? Violent acts in the workplace accounted
for more than 12% of all crises.? Contrary to popular belief most
of the acts were not employment related but occurred at work or
school because the perpetrator could count on the victim being
in that location.? Unfortunately, innocents often were killed
or injured just because they happened
to be in the same location as the victim and the perpetrator.
Four crisis
categories--class action suits, defects and recalls, labor disputes
and workplace violence--account for nearly two-thirds (62.74%)
of all business crises in 2001.
The next group
of crises, accounting for almost 24% of all crises were (in order):
white collar crime, mismanagement, catastrophes (storms, fires,
explosions, etc.) and financial damages (fines, jury awards, settlements).
In other words, eight crisis categories accounted for more than
80% of all crises.
Of course,
this overview offers a broad brushstroke summarizing all the stories
in 2001. Individual industries? experience different crises at
different proportions; e.g.,? discrimination remains the most
frequent crisis at colleges and universities; airports it was
mismanagement;? nursing homes--labor disputes; healthcare--defects
and recalls (medical and administrative errors).? Space does not
permit this annual report to detail the crises experienced by
each major industry.
Fastest
Growing Crisis Categories
2000-2001
As mentioned
in the overview, crisis events increased in all 16 categories.
Workplace violence saw the greatest increase.? Some of that increase
was due to the stories of workplace deaths at the World Trade
Center and the Pentagon.? But not all.? Anthrax killed or sickened
postal and news workers.?
San Quinton
and other correctional facilities experienced prisoner revolt
and violence toward guards, administrators and other prisoners.
Chevron faced a bomb threat.?
Airline flight
attendants requested more protection, before September 11, from
?out of control? passengers.? Several incidents lead to planes
being grounded and passengers arrested because of disruptive,
even threatening behavior.? A fire at Coors Brewery may have been
sabotage.
Executives
and employees worldwide were kidnapped and -- sometimes -- killed;
i.e. church workers in the Philippines.? Hijackers forcibly stole
trucks often killing the drivers. National reports indicated that
physician errors may be a leading cause of death and injury in
hospitals, clinics and other health facilities.?
And, print
and electronic journalists covering Afghanistan, the Middle East,
Africa, Latin America and elsewhere died trying to bring the news
to the? rest of the world.
Sexual harassment,
like workplace violence, has consistently garnered headlines while
accounting for very few organizational crises.? Not this year.?
Dial Corporation faced a trial over harassment.? Women charged
sexual harassment at MetLife, Inc., California Grape Growers,
Ale Jewelry Corp. and Nike to mention but a few of the companies
charged.? Flight attendants from several of the major airlines
complained of being ?fondled and groped? by passengers, airport
workers and security guards.
Hostile takeovers
also increased.? Although a relatively small percentage of all
the stories in the ICM database deal with hostile takeovers, the
number almost doubled between 2000 and 2001. SunTrust went after
Wachovia Bank which eventually merged with First Union.? Willamette
Industries was the target of Weyerhaeuser?s bid.? Hunt Oil sought
a hostile takeover of Berkeley Petroleum.
AT&T Broadband
became the target of several companies with ComCast eventually
winning the bidding. AES made a hostile bid for C.A. National
Telefonos de Venezuela.? Russian TV became a? takeover target.?
Fiat and Electricite de France sought to take over Montedison
to the tune of $4.2 billion.? Even a taxi company serving the
John Wayne Airport in California faced a hostile takeover.? It
elected to file for bankruptcy as a maneuver to prevent the takeover.
But remember,
every category of crisis increased.? The three mentioned above
were those categories which had the greatest increases. The other
13 categories increased an average of almost 22% from 2000 to
2001.? The smallest increase was 2.5% in cases involving discrimination.
Changing
Nature of Business Crises
1990-2001
The nature
of organization crises has been changing since 1990.? White-collar
crime, mismanagement, hostile takeovers and environmental damages
all have significantly decreased over the past 12 years.? Aggressive
governmental oversight and managements? desire to avoid liability,
litigation and government intervention may partially explain the
decreases.
Crisis
Categories Compared
(expressed
as a percent of the year?s crises) |
1990 |
2001 |
Catastrophes |
5.5% |
5.0% |
Casualty
Accidents |
4.8% |
4.6% |
Environmental |
7.8% |
1.8%
- |
Class
Action |
2.2% |
23.1%
+ |
Consumer
Action |
2.8% |
1.6%- |
Defects/Recalls |
5.4% |
14.9%
+ |
Discrimination |
3.3% |
2.7%
- |
Executive
Dismissal |
1.3% |
.8%- |
Financial
Damages |
4.2% |
5.0%+ |
Hostile
Takeover |
2.6% |
.7%- |
Labor
Disputes |
10.3% |
12.4%
+ |
Mismanagement |
24.1% |
6.0%
- |
Sexual
Harassment |
.4% |
.8%+ |
Whistle
Blowing |
1.1% |
.6%+ |
White
Collar Crime |
20.4% |
7.8%
- |
Workplace
Violence |
3.8% |
12.3%+ |
Defects and
recalls, labor disputes, workplace violence and class action lawsuits
all have increased.? Companies initiate voluntary recalls to avoid
liability.? Occasionally government agencies such as the FDA or
the FTC force a recall when complaints to these agencies raise
suspicions concerning the safety of a product.
This brief
comparison identifies the dynamic nature of crises.? Many forces
within and outside businesses stimulate changes in their behaviors.?
Only a handful of experts imagined commercial airliners could
be used as bombs against skyscrapers full of innocent citizens
at work.? Thousands of people suffered at the hands of inhumane
terrorists.? Crises arise because of a wide variety of forces,
not just from fires and explosions as is the stereotype.
Sudden
and Smoldering Crises
Generally,
for the past 12 years, organizations have been their own worst
enemies.? More crises have been caused by internal forces -- discrimination,
fraud, embezzlement, sexual harassment, labor disputes -- than
from external forces -- natural catastrophes, consumer activism,
hostile takeovers.
Except for
2001, the vast majority of crises -- 76% on average -- were of
the smoldering kind.? That is, something is going on within the
organization which could be trouble IF someone finds out.? The
situation continues.? It ?smolders,? like an ember, until something
or someone fans the ember into flame by disclosing the activity,
often to people outside the organization.?
In other words,
through neglect, inattention or inaction, a problem is allowed
to grow into a crisis.? Someone within the organization knows
but no one tells or no one does anything about it.? Firestone
and Ford knew of the relationship between Explorer rollovers and
tires for almost 10 years.? Enron management knew about the risky
nature of its off-the-book deals, even was warned by other executives,
but did nothing.
In 2001, the
increases in workplace violence, labor and consumer activism,
and catastrophes and casualty accidents explains the sudden jump
in sudden crises compared to smoldering ones.
The Causes
of Crises
The most common
causes of crises also changed during 2001. Typically, management
is most responsible for sparking crises.? In fact management is
responsible, on average, for about three-quarters of all crises.?
Employees cause about 15% and ?other? (nature or outsiders) cause
the remaining 10%, that is until 2001.
That formula
was altered by the events of the past year.? Management caused
48.6%, employees 20.1% and other accounted for 31.4%.? Terrorist
acts, estranged lovers or spouses, class action attorneys, vigorous
regulatory agencies, eager competitors, all ?others? generated
an increased number of crises.
Most Crisis
Prone Industries
There were
no newcomers to the typical list of industries suffering the most
crises in 2001.? Every one of the top ten from 2001 has appeared
on the infamous list sometime during the past 12 years. Of course,
the order changes year by year.? Last year, the telecommunications
industry led the list.? This year the honor belongs to the computer
software industry.? The continuing saga of Microsoft versus the
US Department of Justice generated a number of original news stories
during the year.? Microsoft also discovered that its own network
had been invaded by hackers.? A fire in Vitech America (Brazil)
stopped assembly of computers.? Lawsuits against Microsoft, InforMax
and ONYX and a host of other software manufacturers put the industry
at the top of the list.
Most
Crisis-Prone Industries in 2001
(ranked by percentage of database records)
|
|
1.
Computer software manufacturers |
7.5 |
2.
Security and Commodity Brokers |
6.0 |
3.
Scheduled airlines |
5.1 |
4.
Telecommunications |
4.9 |
5.
Pharmaceuticals |
4.0 |
6.
Communications equipment |
3.5 |
7.
Telephone communication |
2.9 |
8.
Motor vehicle manufacturers |
2.8 |
9.
Banks/bank holding companies |
2.7 |
10.
Computer/office equipment? |
2.4 |
Security and
commodity brokers remain among the top three most crisis prone
industries, a distinction they have held the past decade.? Gold
and silver was found buried under the debris of the World Trade
Center.? The EEOC sued Morgan Stanley Dean Witter for gender bias.?
The world famous Lloyd?s of London was sued for racial bias.?
An ex-broker won $27 million in damages from Waddell and Reed.?
A former Putnam vice president was found guilty of conspiracy.?
The demise of the dot-coms led to several score of class action
lawsuits against brokers underwriting or pushing IPOs, which soared
than failed.
Scheduled
airlines ranked number three on our list of ten.? Of course, American
and United gained international notoriety when terrorists used
them to bomb New York and Washington.? Another American aircraft
crashed into a NYC neighborhood within weeks of September 11.?
These events kept thousands of travelers from the airways during
the last months of 2001.
The aftershocks
of the fiery crash of the Concord continued to generate crises
for Air France and British Airways.? TWA settled harassment claims
at JFK airport for $2.6 million.
A Comair pilots
strike lasted almost three months.? The Comair strike spread to
the pilots of Delta although with less impact.? Flight attendant
unions of AeroMexico and American struck their respective airlines.?
Northwest faced a discrimination suit from the EPOCH on behalf
of employees with seizure disorders.? Flying still remains the
safest way to travel despite the crises experienced by the airlines.
The telecommunications
business continues among the most crisis prone of industries.?
The continuing changes at AT&T, the loss of service caused
by the collapse of the World Trade Towers and the volatility of
e-commerce all contributed to the industry?s placement among the
top ten.?? Metromedia responded quickly to rebuild its network
following a fire, but it did experience damage.?????? AOL 5.0
caused computer crashes according to customers.
Amazon.com
experienced several class action lawsuits for a variety of reasons.?
The FTC charged Amazon with deception regarding its privacy policy.?
Voices against web pornography instigated boycotts, lawsuits and
vigorous political activity.
Pharmaceuticals
remained on the list because of defects and recalls and fights
over patent rights.? AIDS activists as well as aging citizens
voiced their concern regarding the escalating prices of drugs.?
Merck, Lilly,
Pharmacia and others all had to defend their pricing strategies
and their expenditures on research and development of new drugs.?
Genetech and GlaxoSmithKline wrestled with the FDA.? A meningitis
strain was found in cortisone injections.? Alpharma experienced
a fire in its animal feed additive plant.
Computer equipment
manufacturers also suffered crises.? Emulux was stung by a hoax,
a phony Internet news release which cost investors millions.?
Cisco, negatively affected by the economic downturn, faced class
action lawsuits as did Cooper Mountain Networks.? Mobile phones
were challenged as a cause of cancer and traffic accidents.? Marconi
was challenged by its unions.? Lucent accused three on the grounds
of espionage and then were criticized on its handling of the arrest.
The telephone
industry continues to have its troubles.? E-mail and mobile phones
have cut into the profitability of long distance carriers.? Local
companies find it difficult to grow within the traditional business.?
The destruction of the World Trade Center damaged the Manhattan
telecommunications hub.? Ameritech faced a $60 million suit and
continuing state regulatory investigations of its service, or
lack thereof according to customers.? In Maryland, a fiery train
wreck disrupted service by WorldCom.
Qwest has
seen its stock price drop to less than $10 per share after consistently
selling in the mid-30s.? Then Qwest was hit by a suit for consumer
fraud by the Attorney General of Arizona.?? Software glitches
continued to badger the industry.? This year it was SBC Communications
which suffered from computer problems.
Car and truck
manufacturers experienced a variety of crises.? Of course, Ford
remained in the headlines because of its dispute with Bridgestone/Firestone.?
That dispute lead to a separation of a long standing business
relationship.? It also led to the change of leadership with a
Ford returning to head the company.? The Explorer and Chrysler
Jeeps performed miserably in crash tests to the dismay of both
companies.?
GM again faced
challenges to the safety of its side-mounted fuel tanks on trucks
when an engineer?s memo surfaced.? The memo indicated that GM
has known of the potential hazards for nearly 30 years.? VW workers
struck a plant in Brazil.? Saturn suffered the rejection of its
retail-chain concept from at least two states.? Finally, the downturn
of the economy pushed car and truck sales down during the early
quarter of 2001 forcing worker furloughs and layoffs.
Banks and
bank holding companies also had their share of troubles.? Eleven
cuts in interest rates reduced margins and sent banks scrambling
to add fees to make up for the revenue loss.? Mellon Bank destroyed?
tax returns. Wachovia Bank became the target of two bidders for
its assets, SunTrust and First Union.? After a short but bitter
battle Wachovia joined First Union.? The head of JP Morgan Chase
and Co. stepped down because of illness.? US Trust was fined $10
million for breaking rules designed to stop money laundering.
Computer and
office equipment manufacturers conclude the list of the most crisis
prone industries. Researchers discovered that children risk future
injuries by steady use of computers.? Lexmark International, Inc.
and Apple Computer faced lawsuits on behalf of investors.? Apple
also experienced a recall of its power adapter.
Juno and Gateway
settled charges by the FTC for deceptive advertising.? The SEC
charged an IBM executive with insider trading.? Finally, the Compaq
Hewlett-Packard merger generated a bitter fight for the votes
of shareholders putting the CEOs and boards of both companies
at risk.
Given the
nature of crises within the ten industries listed above, the members
of the following list should not be a surprise.
Most
Crisis-Prone Business in 2001
(Ranked by number of database records) |
1.
Ford |
2.
Bridgestone/Firestone |
3.
Microsoft |
4.Credit-Suisse |
5.
Boeing |
6.Enron |
7.Critical
Path |
8.American
Airlines |
9.
Sotheby's/Christies |
10.
United Airlines |
Ford and Bridgestone/Firestone
lead the list for the second year.? Boeing ranked third in 2000
and again in 2001.? The others are all newcomers to the list of
the most crisis prone business.? Most have been mentioned elsewhere
in this report but three deserve brief comments.
Credit Suisse
First Boston was hit with scores of class action lawsuits because
of its backing of IPOs, many of which did not live up to expectations.?
This led to NASD charges of collusion and a probe into the sales
of IPOs of tech stocks.?
Credit Suisse
also shook up First Boston by replacing the CEO in a sudden change
of management.? Critical Path also experienced scores of class
action lawsuits.
Boeing experienced
a variety of difficulties.? It announced its corporate headquarters
move from Seattle to Chicago with consequent fear among employees,
disruptions of lives and the loss of tax base and payroll to the
Seattle area.? Its Osprey frequently crashed, with the Marines
blaming inherent flaws in the hydraulic system and computer software.?
Employees
were laid off as orders for the 717 Jetliner did not materialize.?
Cracks in engines lead to the grounding of several Boeing jets.?
Finally, the company offered $92.5 million to settle a class action
law suit on behalf of shareholders.
Crisis
Outlook and Conclusions
1. The easy
organization problems to solve? will continue to stabilize and/or
decrease.?By ?easy? we mean environmental damages (toxic spills,
illegal dumping, etc.) and machines and processes which are worker
safe.
2. The more
difficult problems of personnel--insider trading, embezzlement,
fraud, workplace violence, labor disputes-- will continue to increase.?
Efforts to prevent these crises frequently infringe on the individual?s
rights leaving management? to walk a fine line between oversight
for prevention and personal invasion.? As the US economy begins
to perk-up, we anticipate increased labor activity in an effort
to regain benefits lost in previous contract negotiations.
3. Terrorism,
and efforts to prevent damages from such activities, will increase
for the foreseeable future. Already lives have been changed by
increased security in airports, stadiums, office buildings and?
other places where people congregate. The threat of bioterrorism
will become an increasing concern.
4. While declining
in recent years, class? action lawsuits will remain the number
one aftershock; that is, inappropriate, discriminatory or product/service
quality issue will continue to generate lawsuits.
The
Annual ICM Crisis Report is Written and Edited by Dr. Dan
Millar, Senior Consultant, Institute for Crisis Management
Research compiled by Mark Paul |